U.S. stock-index futures indicated a mixed start for the week Monday, following losses for all three major benchmarks last week as investors weighed brightening economic prospects against worries that interest rates will climb sooner than anticipated.
Investors will be attentive to comments from a parade of speakers from the Federal Reserve, including those from Chairman Jerome Powell later in the morning.
How are stock benchmarks performing?
- Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average YM00,
-0.01%YMM21, -0.01%were off 48 points at 32,455, a decline of 0.2%.
- S&P 500 futures ES00,
+0.26%ESM21, +0.26%added 3.70 points, or less than 0.1%, to reach 3,903.75.
- Nasdaq-100 futures NQ00,
+0.90%NQM21, +0.90%advanced 103.75 points to reach 12,948.25, a gain of 0.8%.
What’s driving the market?
Equity markets have been fixated on rates, with a modest pullback of the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,
The 10-year Treasury yield stood at around 1.68%, down from 1.729% Friday.
Investors have been skittish about the outlook for buying stocks because fiscal stimulus, state reopenings and vaccine rollouts are likely to lead to a major upswing for the economy and higher interest rates, as falling bond prices push yields higher and make speculative and high-growth assets look less compelling.
“Watch out for further gains for US yields, as this could negatively impact the relatively lower-yielding growth stocks and buck-denominated metals in the weeks ahead,” wrote Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at ThinkMarkets, in a Monday note.
“However, if yields were to reverse then that should provide a positive backdrop for these markets,” the analyst said.
Last week’s slide lower for major benchmarks came after the Federal Reserve appeared to strike a dovish tone at its policy meeting on Wednesday but bond yields rose on expectations for economic recovery and inflation this year.
Markets have also been fretting about the central bank’s decision to sunset a yearlong reprieve that had eased capital requirements for big banks. That disappointed investors who had hoped for an extension, raising worries that appetite for bond prices may take a leg lower, putting further pressure on yields, if banks aren’t able to exclude assets like Treasurys from their so-called supplementary leverage ratios.
Market participants may get another chance to hear from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at 9 a.m. Eastern Time when he speaks at an event hosted by the Bank for International Settlements on innovation in the digital age.
On the public health front, AstaZeneca AZN,
Looking ahead, investors await data on existing home sales at 10 ET.